BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


-----------------------------------------------


Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 3A Class Rank: 50 Conference: (2-14) Overall: (5-17) Overall Strength =   57.39

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/29/2004 Away    W    68.88  74   53   1A   69 (10-13) Armstrong-Ringsted     12.80      8.20                      
  2 12/03/2004 Home    W    52.24  73   58   1A  105 ( 7-16) North Iowa             -3.84     18.84                      
  3 12/10/2004 Away    L *  69.59  58   63   3A   18 (13-10) Spencer                13.50    -18.50                      
  4 12/11/2004 Home    L    40.61  54   68   2A   64 (17- 6) Lake Mills            -15.47      1.47                      
  5 12/14/2004 Home    W *  71.45  67   64   2A   19 (16-10) Emmetsburg             15.37    -12.37                      
  6 12/17/2004 Away    L *  51.99  62   85   3A   15 (12-11) LeMars                 -4.09    -18.91                      
  7 12/18/2004 Home    L    60.67  63   70   3A   26 (15- 6) Forest City             4.59    -11.59                      
  8 12/21/2004 Home    L *  65.76  60   73   2A    5 (21- 4) Sheldon                 9.68    -22.68                      
  9 01/07/2005 Home    W *  54.64  57   56   3A   54 ( 4-18) Spirit Lake            -1.44      2.44                      
 10 01/14/2005 Home    L *  55.31  46   51   2A   43 ( 8-16) Cherokee Washington    -0.77     -4.23                      
 11 01/18/2005 Away    L *  43.41  40   84   2A    2 (18- 5) Western Christian     -12.67 *  -31.33                      
 12 01/25/2005 Home    L *  38.57  57   91   3A   11 (12-10) Storm Lake            -17.52    -16.48                      
 13 01/28/2005 Home    L *  62.24  63   72   3A   18 (13-10) Spencer                 6.16    -15.16                      
 14 01/31/2005 Away    L *  64.11  57   75   2A    5 (21- 4) Sheldon                 8.02 *  -26.02  was 01/21/05 now 01/31/05
 15 02/01/2005 Away    L *  52.79  47   66   2A   19 (16-10) Emmetsburg             -3.29    -15.71                      
 16 02/04/2005 Home    L *  61.65  44   54   3A   15 (12-11) LeMars                  5.56    -15.56                      
 17 02/11/2005 Away    L *  45.99  64   75   3A   54 ( 4-18) Spirit Lake           -10.10     -0.90                      
 18 02/15/2005 Away    L *  60.65  44   47   2A   43 ( 8-16) Cherokee Washington     4.57     -7.57                      
 19 02/18/2005 Home    L *  43.07  50   91   2A    2 (18- 5) Western Christian     -13.01 *  -27.99                      
 20 02/22/2005 Home    W    56.09  72   57   EX   73 ( 0- 1) Jackson County Centr    0.00     15.00                      
 21 02/25/2005 Away    L *  63.91  65   77   3A   11 (12-10) Storm Lake              7.82    -19.82                      
 22 02/28/2005 Away    L    50.26  46   87   3A    2 (24- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley       -5.82 *  -35.18                      
      Averages              56.09  57.4 69.0

Best game:   71.45 = 3 point win over Emmetsburg
Worst game:  38.57 = 34 point loss to Storm Lake
Team stdev:   9.68